| 作者 |
 赌马猜想定律 |
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jim
头衔: 海归中校
声望: 学员
加入时间: 2004/02/20
文章: 361
海归分: 40464
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作者：jim 在 海归酒吧 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
首先谢谢Jlink劳心劳力组织的这次聚会活动。
在赌马的时候，有一个猜想： 每次都买赔率最低的马，赌独赢， 最终结果会赢钱吗？
从逻辑上分析，我猜想是基本上是持平的，不然大家早就按这方法赢钱了，马会早关门了。
有一大侠用当天的10场结果做了验证。 不知有无大侠用历史上的100场数据做个统计看看结果？
以下是转贴大侠的email内容：
Even though none of us won a lot of money, but certainly we had a lot
of fun together. Thanks for Jlink's great effort.
During the dinner talk, came up with some theory to be used for next
time. However, be carful - here is some discovery. I did some
calculation from the data for Saturday racing
(https://bet.hkjc.com/racing/default.aspx?url=/racing/odds_wp.aspx?
lang=ch) and find out if you select all the
lowest pay back horse as first place for all the 10 round, you lost 6
(94-100) HKD. Even though, if you select all the lowest payback for all
the first 3 Place, you lost even more 8 HKD.
So, our theory is not really works - we can not trust all the other
peeple's summary. Now seem Jlink's random number metheod works even
better. We need come up with some new formula next time when we try out
in the Happy Valley. It is a decent profession in many countries, so
there must be something there. Any one have better idea or formula or
article to share with us. Can we do better than average? Hope we have
more fun next time.
作者：jim 在 海归酒吧 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 赌马猜想定律 -- jim - (1253 Byte) 2006-6-13 周二, 17:09 (684 reads)
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