| 作者 |
 [讨论]船长说的 dow近期10125的盈利上限已过，各位大师以为下一步会如何？ |
 |
| 所跟贴 |
谢了。就是说至少还有5％的涨头。 -- 黄埔半期 - (166 Byte) 2010-7-09 周五, 11:32 (445 reads) |
黄埔半期
[博客]
头衔: 海归准将
声望: 博导
性别: 
加入时间: 2004/06/29
文章: 3571
海归分: 124514
|
|
|
作者：黄埔半期 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
昨天才说的看跌 BRK, 今天收到下面这封邮件：
link 在这：
https://business.financialpost.com/2010/07/08/berkshire-hathaway-downgraded-to-sell-shares-may-underperform-broader-market/
我的tentative预测表明一个月的target会到 $69~$72，降大约 10％。如果BRK盈利出问题，其它公司会好吗？
全文转贴如下：
Berkshire Hathaway downgraded to Sell, faces ‘double whammy’
Comments Twitter Facebook l<x>inkedIn Digg Reddit Buzz Email
Jonathan Ratner July 8, 2010 – 10:05 am
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A/NYSE) was downgraded to Sell from Hold by Stifel Nicolaus analyst Meyer Shields, who said a weak economic outlook implies poor second half earnings for the holding company. It marks the first such downgrade in six years.
“We think declining consumer confidence will slow consumer spending, as employment very slowly recovers,” Mr. Shields told clients. “Additionally, a shrinking appetite for increased public spending should limit the size of any future economic stimulus packages.”
The analyst also suggested that political instability in the Middle East could push oil prices above US$85 per barrel, further impacting consumers’ discretionary purchases.
Not only are Berkshire’s operating units exposed to economic weakness, Mr. Shields said the stock faces a “double whammy” as its equity portfolio and derivative positions expose it to additional book value pressure.
“Investors’ focus on Berkshire’s book value for valuation imply that its shares could outpace broader market’s declines,” the analyst said. He added that the stock’s year-to-date outperformance versus the S&P 500 is “nearing an apex that seems poised for a correction ba<x>sed on the shares’ history.”
While Berkshire’s property and casualty reserve releases have ramped up recently, Mr. Shields considers that unsustainable in an enduring soft market, which he said implies additional earnings pressure as releases slow.
The analyst reduced his earnings per share estimates for 2010 to US$5,685 from US$5,764 and for 2011 to US$6,097 from US$6,241.
His sum-of-the-parts valuation suggests fair value for the stock at about US$104,000, roughly 13% lower than its July 7 close.
Jonathan Ratner
Posted in: Market Call, Trading Desk Tags: Economy, Warren Buffett, Consumer Confidence, Earnings, Market Call, Downgrade, Oil Price, Berkshire Hathaway
Read more: https://business.financialpost.com/2010/07/08/berkshire-hathaway-downgraded-to-sell-shares-may-underperform-broader-market/#ixzz0tFLAgTLf
作者：黄埔半期 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
| 相关主题 |
| Jack船长，你还维持你对大势的看法吗？ 有没有update?
|
海归商务 |
2011-10-28 周五, 09:51 |
| 请教各位老大，特别是船长，中国股是否到了反转时刻？
|
谈股论金 |
2011-10-06 周四, 19:39 |
| 船长，理版，NFLFAN，pirate, 虫子, 阿修罗，值得表扬，致敬！
|
谈股论金 |
2011-8-11 周四, 12:29 |
| 和JACK船长的一点不同观点
|
海归商务 |
2011-6-09 周四, 06:22 |
| [原创]为庆祝杰克船长新书出版，我忍不住空了点澳币对美金，英镑对美金
|
谈股论金 |
2011-5-03 周二, 18:45 |
| 日本决定放还所扣押我国渔船船长
|
海归主坛 |
2010-9-24 周五, 14:28 |
| 最近怎么见不到船长了，是不是度假去了？
|
谈股论金 |
2010-8-10 周二, 00:49 |
| 杰克船长，我拿数试着验算了一下你上周的预测帖，你是用的1.618和0.61...
|
海归主坛 |
2010-7-03 周六, 11:14 |
| |
|
|
|
| 返回顶端 |
|
 |
|
| |
|
|
|
您不能在本论坛发表新主题, 不能回复主题, 不能编辑自己的文章, 不能删除自己的文章, 不能发表投票, 您 不可以 发表活动帖子在本论坛, 不能添加附件可以下载文件, |
|
|
