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 原来至今中国的FDI中60%以上都是港台新加坡假外企资金 |
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不拉不拉
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作者：不拉不拉 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
这里有一篇Barron's的文章，里面有相关的数据。我一直以为真正的外资已经超过50%了。根据这篇文章，美国流向中国的FDI从2004到2005年下降了差不多2/3！
China Imports Have Asian-Fusion Flavor
ALMOST EVERY DAY there seems to be another report about another American company decamping the U.S. for low-cost China. The more capital U.S. firms plough into China, according to conventional wisdom, the greater the competitive threat to corporate America and American workers. By increasing their presence in the Chinese economy, U.S. firms, in effect, are exporting American jobs to Shanghai, Tianjin, Wuhan and other burgeoning areas in China.
That's the consensus view among many constituents in the U.S., although, not for the first time, we feel the consensus is wide off the mark.
Granted, American firms have raised their stakes in China over the past decade, with cumulative U.S. foreign direct investment (FDI) in the first half of this decade rising significantly over the amount invested over the second half of the 1990s. That said, two points are worth highlighting:
First, as a percent of total U.S. FDI outflows, China accounted for just 1.4% of the global total in the first half of this decade (2000-04) -- a pittance, in other words, relative to total U.S. FDI overseas.
Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows that, after hitting a record high of $4.2 billion in 2004, one measure of U.S. foreign investment to China dropped sharply last year, to roughly $1.8 billion by our estimate. Declining profit margins among U.S. affiliates in China, coupled with excess capacity in various Chinese industries, were among the chief reasons behind the slowdown in U.S. investment to China last year.
Second, as it relates to China's FDI inflows, Corporate America accounts for only a small slice of the pie. Since 2000, U.S. firms have accounted for just 10% of total FDI inflows to China, a much smaller percentage than commonly recognized.
Japan's share was slightly larger, at 11.1%. Germany's relative presence in China (accounting for just 2.6% of total inflows this decade) has been rather limited, as was the presence of the British, the Dutch and the French. In general, European firms have stepped rather cautiously into China.
At the other end of the spectrum are companies from Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore, who have been at the forefront of investing in China, collectively accounting for over 60% of China's FDI inflows this decade.
In other words, it's not the developed nations that are driving China's investment-led growth and industrialization. Rather, the rise of China has a significant "Made in Asia" quality to it; the Middle Kingdom, along with Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore have never before been joined at the hip as they are now.
Accordingly, in terms of production shifting to China, the burden of adjustment has fallen disproportionately on workers in Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and Hong Kong as opposed to Germany, Japan or the U.S. That's a fact lost on many policy makers and legislators here in the U.S.
Also lost on many folks in the U.S. is this: While U.S. imports from China have soared over the past decade, much of what the U.S. now imports from China used to come from Hong Kong, Taiwan and other Asian nations. Over half of China's total exports are attributable to foreign-owned affiliate operations, thereby obscuring the true meaning of "Made in China."
作者：不拉不拉 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 原来至今中国的FDI中60%以上都是港台新加坡假外企资金 -- 不拉不拉 - (3469 Byte) 2006-2-14 周二, 13:29 (1007 reads)
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